Eli v. Tom? Eli v. Phil Is More Interesting

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A lot was made of Eli Manning’s response to ESPN Radio host Michael Kay’s question, Are you in the same class as Tom Brady?

Eli hemmed a bit, then admitted that, yes, he considers himself on that level. It is true that Brady’s

24 Sep 1989: Quarterback Phil Simms of the New York Giants prepares to pass the ball during a game against the Phoenix Cardinals at Giants Stadium in the Meadowlands in East Rutherford, New Jersey. The Giants won the game 35-7. Mandatory Credit: T. G. H

statistics, quality wins, and titles outweigh Manning’s. The numbers come first in such comparisons, but sometimes digit-crunchers lose sight of the forest.

Those who feel outraged that Eli even think of measuring himself next to the Patriots’ golden boy should take it easy. Manning is one of a few dozen quarterbacks on the planet, who can navigate multiple seasons with better-than-average success. He has good reason to be that confident–because he’s absolutely right.

Not only is this is a non-story, but there is a much more interesting question:

Is Eli Manning better than Phil Simms was?

This question is already up for debate among New York Giant fans. As in the Manning-Brady debate, usually the answer is an emotional one. It’s about who you favor on a personal level. Who you feel you know.

Numbers come first. Seven full seasons into their careers, Simms and Manning match up comparably. Going into year eight, they both had won Super Bowls recently enough to still deserve respect. Eli beat undefeated New England, though his Giants normally are a playoff one-and-out. Simms is 6-4 as a postseason starter.

Phil played in 91 games over his first seven years. He started 90 of them, and won 51. Manning has started in 103 games so far. He’s won 60.

The quarterback rating has recently been declared outdated. Since that’s all we had back up till ye olden days of 2010, we’ll take a look. What we see is that Eli’s career rating is a bump above eighty; Phil’s career mark sits a couple of notches below. Simms didn’t have a rating above seventy-eight until 1987. Simms simply got more accurate with age.

Simms trails the seven-season match-up in total passing by about three thousand yards. But Eli has been asked to throw the ball a ton. He’s got five 500-attempt seasons. Phil Simms had one, in 1984; it was his only 4,000-yard season, as well. Maybe Manning has a robot arm today, but does that much gunslinging fatigue an arm over time? We will find out.

Injuries played a huge part for Simms early in his career. Those contributed to incomplete seasons, and ones where he was absent entirely. The seasons from 1981-83 were not included in this Manning-Simms comparison.

Much was made of Mike Vick’s on-field transformation, after his return from punishment. Vick still uses his legs, but is clearly more of a forward-thinker in the pocket. He admitted that he never put in the film work as an Atlanta quarterback, relying on his natural gifts.

Phil Simms reset his approach similarly back in 1983. He was oft-injured, rather than incarcerated, but the idea was the same as Vick’s. Simms let himself get talked into studying more than he ever had, and returned the next season a more capable field general.